Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin prediction & analysis
Tigre to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tigre 1.6 – 0.6 Sarmiento Junin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Tigre are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 12% for Sarmiento Junin.
Tigre have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Sarmiento Junin have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.6 for Tigre, 0.6 for Sarmiento Junin). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (14%), 0–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Tigre have won 0, Sarmiento Junin have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Tigre to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is better than our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Tigre to win ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Tigre or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Tigre / FT Tigre ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 17% | 5.78 | – |
Form
Tigre – last 6
| 30 Oct | @ Huracan | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Atletico Tucuman | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Independ. Rivadavia | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Banfield | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Argentinos JRS | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | @ Velez Sarsfield | 2–3 | L |
Sarmiento Junin – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Rosario Central | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Oct | @ Gimnasia L.P. | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | vs Barracas Central | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Oct | vs River Plate | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Oct | @ Aldosivi | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Racing Club | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
| 25 Apr 2026 | Sarmiento Junin v Tigre | 1–0 |
More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions
Aldosivi0
River Plate2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
76%@1.28
✓
FT
Argentinos JRS0
Huracan2
1XArgentinos JRS or draw
83%@1.22
✗
FT
Banfield2
Atletico Tucuman2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
79%@1.23
✗
FT
Barracas Central2
Racing Club0
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
65%@1.44
✓
FT
Boca Juniors1
Defensa Y Justicia0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
70%@1.40
✓
FT
Central Cordoba de Santiago1
Lanus1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
79%@1.22
✓
FT
Gimnasia M.1
Independ. Rivadavia1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
77%@1.25
✓
FT
Independiente2
Deportivo Riestra1
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
66%@1.50
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our pick is Tigre to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin?
On our numbers Tigre have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sarmiento Junin 12%.
How many goals will there be in Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin?
Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.