Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Independiente 1.4 – 0.6 Deportivo Riestra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Independiente hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 17% for Deportivo Riestra.
Independiente have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Deportivo Riestra have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 0.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.4 for Independiente, 0.6 for Deportivo Riestra). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 2–0 (13%), 0–0 (13%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.52.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Independiente to win ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.75 |
| Double chance | Independiente or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.17 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Independiente / FT Independiente ✓ | 34% | 2.91 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 19% | 5.28 | – |
Form
Independiente – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Defensa Y Justicia | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Boca Juniors | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Racing Club | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Oct | @ Talleres Cordoba | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Oct | vs Instituto Cordoba | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Union Santa Fe | 2–1 | W |
Deportivo Riestra – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Talleres Cordoba | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | @ Instituto Cordoba | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Union Santa Fe | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ San Lorenzo | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Oct | vs Central Cordoba de Santiago | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Gimnasia M. | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente and Deportivo Riestra.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?
On our numbers Independiente have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Riestra 17%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?
Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.