Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Victor Legrotaglie
Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gimnasia M. 1.2 – 1.2 Independ. Rivadavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Gimnasia M. and Independ. Rivadavia on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Gimnasia M. have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Independ. Rivadavia have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Gimnasia M., 1.2 for Independ. Rivadavia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.30.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gimnasia M. to win ✗ | 37% | 2.67 | 2.77 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.34 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.88 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.42 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gimnasia M. / FT Gimnasia M. ✗ | 21% | 4.81 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.42 | – |
Form
Gimnasia M. – last 6
| 2 Nov | @ Lanus | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Oct | vs Platense | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Velez Sarsfield | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Oct | vs Newells Old Boys | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Oct | @ Estudiantes L.P. | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Deportivo Riestra | 0–0 | D |
Independ. Rivadavia – last 6
| 3 Nov | vs Banfield | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Oct | @ Argentinos JRS | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Tigre | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Rosario Central | 0–5 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Gimnasia L.P. | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | @ Barracas Central | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia M. and Independ. Rivadavia.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
On our numbers Gimnasia M. have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Independ. Rivadavia 37%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Victor Legrotaglie.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.