Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Alberto J. Armando

Boca Juniors

WWWWL
1–0
FT

Defensa Y Justicia

DWLWW

Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia prediction & analysis

70%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBoca Juniors to win ✓69% · @1.38
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw ✓92% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.71

Win chances

Boca Juniors69%fair 1.45 · @1.38
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @4.33
Defensa Y Justicia8%fair 12.33 · @9.50
2.60Expected goals
2.00Boca Juniors xG
0.60Defensa Y Justicia xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Boca Juniors 2.0 – 0.6 Defensa Y Justicia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Boca Juniors are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 8% for Defensa Y Justicia.

Boca Juniors have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Defensa Y Justicia have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.

We expect around 2.6 goals (2.0 for Boca Juniors, 0.6 for Defensa Y Justicia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (15%), 1–0 (15%), 3–0 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Boca Juniors have won 1, Defensa Y Justicia have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.43.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBoca Juniors to win ✓69%1.451.38
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw ✓92%1.091.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.981.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.40
Half-time resultBoca Juniors ahead at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors ✗46%2.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15%6.71–

Form

Boca Juniors – last 6

WWWWLD
1 Novvs River Plate1–0W
25 Oct@ Independiente1–0W
21 Oct@ Vasco DA Gama3–1W
17 Octvs Talleres Cordoba2–1W
14 Octvs Vasco DA Gama0–1L
9 Oct@ Instituto Cordoba2–2D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Defensa Y Justicia – last 6

DWLWWD
31 Octvs Independiente1–1D
24 Oct@ Talleres Cordoba2–1W
16 Octvs Instituto Cordoba0–1L
10 Oct@ Union Santa Fe2–0W
3 Octvs San Lorenzo3–0W
18 Sep@ Central Cordoba de Santiago2–2D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Defensa Y Justicia v Boca Juniors0–4

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

FT Aldosivi0 River Plate2 82369 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓ FT Argentinos JRS0 Huracan2 632117 1XArgentinos JRS or draw 83%@1.22 ✗ FT Banfield2 Atletico Tucuman2 412534 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.23 ✗ FT Barracas Central2 Racing Club0 392635 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✓ FT Central Cordoba de Santiago1 Lanus1 142561 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓ FT Gimnasia M.1 Independ. Rivadavia1 372537 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓ FT Independiente2 Deportivo Riestra1 592417 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✗ FT Instituto Cordoba2 Newells Old Boys2 662311 1Instituto Cordoba to win 66%@1.85 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?

On our numbers Boca Juniors have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Defensa Y Justicia 8%.

How many goals will there be in Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

When is Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?

Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto J. Armando.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.