Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo

DDWWL
0–2
FT

Platense

WDWLD

San Lorenzo vs Platense prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultSan Lorenzo to win ✗38% · @2.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.05

Win chances

San Lorenzo38%fair 2.64 · @2.67
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.85
Platense35%fair 2.86 · @3.05
1.96Expected goals
1.01San Lorenzo xG
0.95Platense xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: San Lorenzo 1.0 – 1.0 Platense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates San Lorenzo and Platense on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 27% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

San Lorenzo have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Platense have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.0 goals (1.0 for San Lorenzo, 1.0 for Platense). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (14%).

In their last 1 meeting, San Lorenzo have won 1, Platense have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.45 is close to our fair price of 1.48. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.15 is our value angle (50% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Lorenzo to win ✗38%2.642.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.691.60
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.481.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.191.16
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.05–

Form

San Lorenzo – last 6

DDWWLL
31 Oct@ Velez Sarsfield2–2D
24 Octvs Newells Old Boys0–0D
18 Oct@ Estudiantes L.P.2–1W
11 Octvs Deportivo Riestra1–0W
3 Oct@ Defensa Y Justicia0–3L
20 Sepvs Boca Juniors0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Platense – last 6

WDWLDD
2 Novvs Central Cordoba de Santiago2–0W
29 Oct@ Atletico Tucuman1–1D
23 Oct@ Gimnasia M.2–1W
17 Octvs Lanus0–1L
11 Octvs Argentinos JRS1–1D
5 Oct@ Velez Sarsfield2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Apr 2026Platense v San Lorenzo0–1

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

FT Aldosivi0 River Plate2 82369 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓ FT Argentinos JRS0 Huracan2 632117 1XArgentinos JRS or draw 83%@1.22 ✗ FT Banfield2 Atletico Tucuman2 412534 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.23 ✗ FT Barracas Central2 Racing Club0 392635 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✓ FT Boca Juniors1 Defensa Y Justicia0 69238 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.40 ✓ FT Central Cordoba de Santiago1 Lanus1 142561 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓ FT Gimnasia M.1 Independ. Rivadavia1 372537 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓ FT Independiente2 Deportivo Riestra1 592417 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Lorenzo vs Platense?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win San Lorenzo vs Platense?

On our numbers San Lorenzo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Platense 35%.

How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo vs Platense?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

When is San Lorenzo vs Platense?

San Lorenzo vs Platense (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pedro Bidegain.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.