Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Rosario Central or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Rosario Central to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRosario Central to win ✓63% · @1.83
Double chanceRosario Central or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.45
Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Sarmiento Junin take on Rosario Central on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 01:15 (WAT) at Estadio Eva Peron. Sarmiento Junin are 19th with 40 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Rosario Central sit 2nd on 62 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sarmiento Junin's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Gimnasia L.P. 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Rosario Central's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Huracan 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rosario Central arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 April 2026, finished Rosario Central 2–1 Sarmiento Junin.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Sarmiento Junin and 1.8 for Rosario Central. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sarmiento Junin 13%, draw 24%, Rosario Central 63%.
Safer route: Rosario Central or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Rosario Central to win at 1.83 – 63% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rosario Central or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sarmiento Junin 0–1 Rosario Central. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento Junin13%fair 7.66 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.40
Rosario Central63%fair 1.59 · @1.83
2.43Expected goals
0.67Sarmiento Junin xG
1.76Rosario Central xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Junin 0.7 – 1.8 Rosario Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central?
Our pick is Rosario Central or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central?
On our numbers Sarmiento Junin have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rosario Central 63%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Junin 0–1 Rosario Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central?
Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eva Peron.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Defensa Y Justicia1
Independiente1
Deportivo Riestra0
Talleres Cordoba3
Velez Sarsfield2
San Lorenzo2