Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente preview and prediction
The match
Independiente travel to Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 31 October (18:45 WAT) to face Defensa Y Justicia. Defensa Y Justicia are 14th with 47 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Independiente sit 13th on 47 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Defensa Y Justicia's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Talleres Cordoba 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Independiente's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Boca Juniors 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Defensa Y Justicia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Independiente 3–1 Defensa Y Justicia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Defensa Y Justicia and 1.0 for Independiente. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Defensa Y Justicia 46%, draw 23%, Independiente 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Independiente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Defensa Y Justicia46%fair 2.18 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Independiente31%fair 3.25 · @3.20
2.39Expected goals
1.35Defensa Y Justicia xG
1.04Independiente xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Defensa Y Justicia 1.4 – 1.0 Independiente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?
On our numbers Defensa Y Justicia have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Independiente 31%.
How many goals will there be in Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?
Our predicted score is Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Independiente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?
Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.