Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Newells Old Boys or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Newells Old Boys to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewells Old Boys to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceNewells Old Boys or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.14
Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
Union Santa Fe travel to Estadio Marcelo Bielsa in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 1 November (22:30 WAT) to face Newells Old Boys. Newells Old Boys are 6th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Union Santa Fe sit 9th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Newells Old Boys's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with San Lorenzo 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Union Santa Fe's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Estudiantes L.P. 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Newells Old Boys arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Union Santa Fe 2–3 Newells Old Boys.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Newells Old Boys and 0.8 for Union Santa Fe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newells Old Boys 61%, draw 24%, Union Santa Fe 15%.
Safer route: Newells Old Boys or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Newells Old Boys to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Newells Old Boys or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Newells Old Boys 1–0 Union Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newells Old Boys61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Union Santa Fe15%fair 6.89 · @3.90
2.55Expected goals
1.79Newells Old Boys xG
0.76Union Santa Fe xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Newells Old Boys 1.8 – 0.8 Union Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
Our pick is Newells Old Boys or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
On our numbers Newells Old Boys have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Union Santa Fe 15%.
How many goals will there be in Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Newells Old Boys 1–0 Union Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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