Boca Juniors vs River Plate preview and prediction
The match
River Plate travel to Estadio Alberto J. Armando in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 1 November (19:00 WAT) to face Boca Juniors. Boca Juniors are 2nd with 33 points from 16 games (in the top four), while River Plate sit 4th on 26 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Boca Juniors's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Independiente 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
River Plate's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Racing Club 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Boca Juniors and 1.1 for River Plate. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boca Juniors 44%, draw 23%, River Plate 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Boca Juniors 1–1 River Plate. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boca Juniors44%fair 2.29 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
River Plate33%fair 3.04 · @3.10
2.32Expected goals
1.27Boca Juniors xG
1.05River Plate xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Boca Juniors 1.3 – 1.1 River Plate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Juniors to win✓
44%
2.29
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors✓
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.02
–
Form
Boca Juniors – last 6
WWWLDW
25 Oct
@ Independiente
1–0
W
21 Oct
@ Vasco DA Gama
3–1
W
17 Oct
vs Talleres Cordoba
2–1
W
14 Oct
vs Vasco DA Gama
0–1
L
9 Oct
@ Instituto Cordoba
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Union Santa Fe
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
River Plate – last 6
WWDWLW
25 Oct
vs Racing Club
1–0
W
19 Oct
@ Belgrano Cordoba
3–0
W
14 Oct
@ Sarmiento Junin
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Huracan
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Atletico Tucuman
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boca Juniors and River Plate.
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors vs River Plate?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Boca Juniors vs River Plate?
On our numbers Boca Juniors have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and River Plate 33%.
How many goals will there be in Boca Juniors vs River Plate?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boca Juniors vs River Plate?
Our predicted score is Boca Juniors 1–1 River Plate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Boca Juniors vs River Plate?
Boca Juniors vs River Plate (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto J. Armando.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Belgrano Cordoba2
Barracas Central2