Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTigre to win ✗58% · @1.80
Double chanceTigre or draw ✗84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.54
Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman preview and prediction
The match
Tigre host Atletico Tucuman in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 01:15 (WAT) at Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna. Tigre are 20th with 39 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Atletico Tucuman sit 26th on 32 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tigre's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Independ. Rivadavia 2–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Atletico Tucuman's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Rosario Central 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Tigre and 0.6 for Atletico Tucuman. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tigre to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tigre 1–0 Atletico Tucuman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigre58%fair 1.74 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.10
Atletico Tucuman16%fair 6.11 · @4.50
2.09Expected goals
1.46Tigre xG
0.63Atletico Tucuman xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Tigre 1.5 – 0.6 Atletico Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigre to win✗
58%
1.74
1.80
Double chance
Tigre or draw✗
84%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigre / FT Tigre✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.54
–
Form
Tigre – last 6
DLLLLL
17 Oct
@ Independ. Rivadavia
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs Banfield
1–2
L
4 Oct
@ Argentinos JRS
1–2
L
21 Sep
@ Velez Sarsfield
2–3
L
13 Sep
vs Rosario Central
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Gimnasia L.P.
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atletico Tucuman – last 6
LDLLDL
18 Oct
vs Rosario Central
2–3
L
9 Oct
@ Gimnasia L.P.
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Barracas Central
2–3
L
21 Sep
@ Aldosivi
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Independ. Rivadavia
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs River Plate
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigre and Atletico Tucuman.
What is the prediction for Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our pick is Tigre to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman?
On our numbers Tigre have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico Tucuman 16%.
How many goals will there be in Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Tigre 1–0 Atletico Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman?
Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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