Value bet: Platense to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnasia M. to win ✗38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.56
Gimnasia M. vs Platense preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Gimnasia M. take on Platense on Friday 23 October, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Victor Legrotaglie. Gimnasia M. are 8th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Platense sit 10th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gimnasia M.'s last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Velez Sarsfield 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Platense's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Lanus 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Gimnasia M. and 1.0 for Platense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimnasia M. 38%, draw 26%, Platense 36%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Platense to win at 3.25 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Gimnasia M. 1–0 Platense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia M.38%fair 2.65 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.90
Platense36%fair 2.75 · @3.25
2.07Expected goals
1.05Gimnasia M. xG
1.02Platense xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Gimnasia M. 1.0 – 1.0 Platense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia M. to win✗
38%
2.65
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.56
–
Form
Gimnasia M. – last 6
LWLDLD
18 Oct
@ Velez Sarsfield
0–1
L
12 Oct
vs Newells Old Boys
1–0
W
5 Oct
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
11 Sep
@ Defensa Y Justicia
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Boca Juniors
2–2
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Platense – last 6
LDDWLW
17 Oct
vs Lanus
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Argentinos JRS
1–1
D
5 Oct
@ Velez Sarsfield
2–2
D
2 Oct
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Newells Old Boys
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Fluminense
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia M. and Platense.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia M. vs Platense?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Platense?
On our numbers Gimnasia M. have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Platense 36%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia M. vs Platense?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia M. vs Platense?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia M. 1–0 Platense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia M. vs Platense?
Gimnasia M. vs Platense (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Victor Legrotaglie.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gimnasia L.P.2
Sarmiento Junin0