Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Gimnasia L.P. to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnasia L.P. to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chanceGimnasia L.P. or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin preview and prediction
The match
Gimnasia L.P. host Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo. Gimnasia L.P. are 5th with 57 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Sarmiento Junin sit 19th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gimnasia L.P.'s last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Huracan 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sarmiento Junin's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Barracas Central 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Sarmiento Junin 1–2 Gimnasia L.P..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Gimnasia L.P. and 0.7 for Sarmiento Junin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Gimnasia L.P. to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gimnasia L.P. 1–0 Sarmiento Junin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia L.P.64%fair 1.57 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.40
Sarmiento Junin16%fair 6.15 · @5.00
2.53Expected goals
1.79Gimnasia L.P. xG
0.74Sarmiento Junin xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Gimnasia L.P. 1.8 – 0.7 Sarmiento Junin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our pick is Gimnasia L.P. to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
On our numbers Gimnasia L.P. have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sarmiento Junin 16%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia L.P. 1–0 Sarmiento Junin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gimnasia M.1
Platense2