Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Gimnasia L.P. or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Gimnasia L.P. to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnasia L.P. to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceGimnasia L.P. or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.85
Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Gimnasia L.P. take on Atletico Tucuman on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo. Gimnasia L.P. are 5th with 57 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Atletico Tucuman sit 26th on 32 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gimnasia L.P.'s last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Atletico Tucuman's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Barracas Central 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Gimnasia L.P. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Atletico Tucuman 1–0 Gimnasia L.P..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Gimnasia L.P. and 0.6 for Atletico Tucuman. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 49%.
Value angle: Gimnasia L.P. to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gimnasia L.P. or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gimnasia L.P. 1–0 Atletico Tucuman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia L.P.62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Atletico Tucuman15%fair 6.73 · @4.00
2.25Expected goals
1.62Gimnasia L.P. xG
0.63Atletico Tucuman xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Gimnasia L.P. 1.6 – 0.6 Atletico Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our pick is Gimnasia L.P. or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
On our numbers Gimnasia L.P. have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Tucuman 15%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia L.P. 1–0 Atletico Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Instituto Cordoba2
Boca Juniors2