Value bet: Newells Old Boys to win @ 3.60 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPlatense to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.78
Platense vs Newells Old Boys preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Platense take on Newells Old Boys on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez. Platense are 10th with 20 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Newells Old Boys sit 6th on 23 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Platense's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Fluminense 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Newells Old Boys's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Velez Sarsfield 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Newells Old Boys arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 March 2026, finished Newells Old Boys 1–1 Platense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Platense and 1.0 for Newells Old Boys. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Platense 39%, draw 26%, Newells Old Boys 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Newells Old Boys to win at 3.60 – 35% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.15, above our fair price of 1.96, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Platense 1–1 Newells Old Boys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Platense39%fair 2.58 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.90
Newells Old Boys35%fair 2.83 · @3.60
2.16Expected goals
1.11Platense xG
1.05Newells Old Boys xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Platense 1.1 – 1.0 Newells Old Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Platense vs Newells Old Boys?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Platense vs Newells Old Boys?
On our numbers Platense have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Newells Old Boys 35%.
How many goals will there be in Platense vs Newells Old Boys?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Platense vs Newells Old Boys?
Our predicted score is Platense 1–1 Newells Old Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Platense vs Newells Old Boys?
Platense vs Newells Old Boys (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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