Value bet: Tigre to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTigre to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.53
Tigre vs Rosario Central preview and prediction
The match
Tigre host Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 18:45 (WAT). Tigre are 20th with 39 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Rosario Central sit 2nd on 62 points (in the top four). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tigre's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Gimnasia L.P. 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Rosario Central's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Newells Old Boys 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Tigre and 1.0 for Rosario Central. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tigre 38%, draw 27%, Rosario Central 35%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Tigre to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Tigre 1–0 Rosario Central. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigre38%fair 2.66 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.70
Rosario Central35%fair 2.84 · @2.62
2.08Expected goals
1.06Tigre xG
1.02Rosario Central xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Tigre 1.1 – 1.0 Rosario Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigre to win✗
38%
2.66
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.53
–
Form
Tigre – last 6
LDWLDL
5 Sep
@ Gimnasia L.P.
1–2
L
1 Sep
vs Barracas Central
0–0
D
24 Aug
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
2–1
W
20 Aug
@ Atletico Torque
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Aldosivi
0–0
D
12 Aug
vs Atletico Torque
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rosario Central – last 6
DLDLWD
6 Sep
vs Newells Old Boys
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Gimnasia L.P.
1–2
L
25 Aug
@ Talleres Cordoba
2–2
D
21 Aug
@ Corinthians
0–1
L
17 Aug
@ Barracas Central
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Corinthians
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigre and Rosario Central.
What is the prediction for Tigre vs Rosario Central?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Tigre vs Rosario Central?
On our numbers Tigre have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Rosario Central 35%.
How many goals will there be in Tigre vs Rosario Central?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigre vs Rosario Central?
Our predicted score is Tigre 1–0 Rosario Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tigre vs Rosario Central?
Tigre vs Rosario Central (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Talleres Cordoba2
Union Santa Fe1
Independiente1
San Lorenzo1