Value bet: Deportivo Riestra to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Riestra to win ✗39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.03
Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus preview and prediction
The match
Lanus travel to Estadio Guillermo Laza in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday 14 September (23:00 WAT) to face Deportivo Riestra. Deportivo Riestra are 28th with 23 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Lanus sit 9th on 50 points (in the top half). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportivo Riestra's last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with Banfield 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Lanus's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Defensa Y Justicia 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Deportivo Riestra and 0.8 for Lanus. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Deportivo Riestra to win at 3.10 – 39% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Lanus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Riestra39%fair 2.58 · @3.10
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.60
Lanus33%fair 3.05 · @2.62
1.69Expected goals
0.90Deportivo Riestra xG
0.79Lanus xG
46%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–017%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Deportivo Riestra 0.9 – 0.8 Lanus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Riestra to win✗
39%
2.58
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.40
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.03
–
Form
Deportivo Riestra – last 6
DDDDDL
9 Sep
vs Banfield
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Platense
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Velez Sarsfield
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Huracan
0–0
D
18 Aug
vs Gimnasia L.P.
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Newells Old Boys
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lanus – last 6
WLDLWL
6 Sep
vs Defensa Y Justicia
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Boca Juniors
0–1
L
25 Aug
vs Argentinos JRS
1–1
D
17 Aug
vs Independiente
1–3
L
12 Aug
@ Talleres Cordoba
3–0
W
6 Aug
@ Union Santa Fe
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Riestra and Lanus.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus?
On our numbers Deportivo Riestra have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lanus 33%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Lanus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus?
Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Laza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Huracan2
Racing Club1
Banfield1
Barracas Central1