Value bet: Barracas Central to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBanfield to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.81
Banfield vs Barracas Central preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Banfield take on Barracas Central on Monday 14 September, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Florencio Sola. Banfield are 25th with 33 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Barracas Central sit 12th on 47 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Banfield's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Deportivo Riestra 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Barracas Central's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Argentinos JRS 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Banfield arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Banfield and 0.9 for Barracas Central. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Banfield 42%, draw 24%, Barracas Central 33%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Barracas Central to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Banfield 1–0 Barracas Central. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Banfield42%fair 2.36 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.80
Barracas Central33%fair 2.99 · @3.30
2.00Expected goals
1.09Banfield xG
0.91Barracas Central xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Banfield 1.1 – 0.9 Barracas Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Banfield to win✗
42%
2.36
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Banfield / FT Banfield✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.81
–
Form
Banfield – last 6
DLLLDW
9 Sep
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Aldosivi
1–3
L
30 Aug
vs River Plate
2–3
L
23 Aug
@ Newells Old Boys
1–2
L
19 Aug
vs Midland
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Racing Club
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Barracas Central – last 6
DDLLLL
7 Sep
vs Argentinos JRS
0–0
D
1 Sep
@ Tigre
0–0
D
27 Aug
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–3
L
23 Aug
vs Platense
1–2
L
17 Aug
vs Rosario Central
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ Gimnasia L.P.
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Banfield and Barracas Central.
What is the prediction for Banfield vs Barracas Central?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Banfield vs Barracas Central?
On our numbers Banfield have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barracas Central 33%.
How many goals will there be in Banfield vs Barracas Central?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Banfield vs Barracas Central?
Our predicted score is Banfield 1–0 Barracas Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Banfield vs Barracas Central?
Banfield vs Barracas Central (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Florencio Sola.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportivo Riestra0
Lanus3