Value bet: Deportivo Riestra to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPlatense to win ✗40% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00
Platense vs Deportivo Riestra preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Platense take on Deportivo Riestra on Friday 4 September, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT). Platense are 24th with 36 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Riestra sit 28th on 23 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Platense's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Defensa Y Justicia 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Deportivo Riestra's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Velez Sarsfield 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 March 2026, finished Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Platense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Platense and 0.8 for Deportivo Riestra. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Deportivo Riestra to win at 3.50 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Platense 0–0 Deportivo Riestra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Platense40%fair 2.50 · @2.36
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.76
Deportivo Riestra33%fair 3.06 · @3.50
1.71Expected goals
0.92Platense xG
0.79Deportivo Riestra xG
48%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Platense 0.9 – 0.8 Deportivo Riestra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Platense vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Platense vs Deportivo Riestra?
On our numbers Platense have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Riestra 33%.
How many goals will there be in Platense vs Deportivo Riestra?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Platense vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our predicted score is Platense 0–0 Deportivo Riestra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Platense vs Deportivo Riestra?
Platense vs Deportivo Riestra (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0
Sarmiento Junin2
Belgrano Cordoba1
Huracan1