Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Sarmiento Junin to win @ 2.76 – our chance 44% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarmiento Junin to win ✓44% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.85
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto take on Sarmiento Junin on Friday 4 September, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT). Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are 30th with 14 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Sarmiento Junin sit 19th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Huracan 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Sarmiento Junin's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Union Santa Fe 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sarmiento Junin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished Sarmiento Junin 1–0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and 1.1 for Sarmiento Junin. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 32%, draw 24%, Sarmiento Junin 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Sarmiento Junin to win at 2.76 – 44% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–1 Sarmiento Junin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto32%fair 3.12 · @2.76
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.88
Sarmiento Junin44%fair 2.28 · @2.76
2.06Expected goals
0.92Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto xG
1.14Sarmiento Junin xG
51%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.9 – 1.1 Sarmiento Junin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin?
On our numbers Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sarmiento Junin 44%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–1 Sarmiento Junin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin?
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Platense1
Deportivo Riestra1