Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Independiente or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Independiente to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente to win ✗61% · @1.90
Double chanceIndependiente or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.72
Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Independiente take on Independ. Rivadavia on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT). Independiente are 7th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Independ. Rivadavia sit 7th on 23 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Independiente's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Lanus 3–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Independ. Rivadavia's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Fluminense 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Independiente and 0.7 for Independ. Rivadavia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Independiente to win at 1.90 – 61% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Independiente or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Independiente 1–0 Independ. Rivadavia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente61%fair 1.63 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.20
Independ. Rivadavia16%fair 6.39 · @4.33
2.45Expected goals
1.72Independiente xG
0.73Independ. Rivadavia xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Independiente 1.7 – 0.7 Independ. Rivadavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente to win✗
61%
1.63
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Independiente or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Independiente ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente / FT Independiente✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.72
–
Form
Independiente – last 6
WLLLWW
17 Aug
@ Lanus
3–1
W
12 Aug
@ Atletico Tucuman
0–4
L
9 Aug
vs Platense
0–1
L
3 Aug
@ Velez Sarsfield
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Newells Old Boys
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Estudiantes L.P.
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Independ. Rivadavia – last 6
DLDWLW
18 Aug
vs Fluminense
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Belgrano Cordoba
0–2
L
11 Aug
@ Fluminense
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2–1
W
3 Aug
@ Sarmiento Junin
1–2
L
30 Jul
vs Huracan
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente and Independ. Rivadavia.
What is the prediction for Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our pick is Independiente or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia?
On our numbers Independiente have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Independ. Rivadavia 16%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our predicted score is Independiente 1–0 Independ. Rivadavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0
Atletico Tucuman0
Gimnasia L.P.2