Value bet: San Lorenzo to win @ 2.66 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Lorenzo to win ✗42% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.38
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo preview and prediction
The match
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto host San Lorenzo in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Antonio Candini. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are 30th with 14 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while San Lorenzo sit 18th on 41 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Atletico Tucuman 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
San Lorenzo's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Union Santa Fe 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
San Lorenzo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished San Lorenzo 2–0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and 1.0 for San Lorenzo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 33%, draw 25%, San Lorenzo 42%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.57.
Value angle: San Lorenzo to win at 2.66 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–1 San Lorenzo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto33%fair 3.02 · @2.96
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.80
San Lorenzo42%fair 2.39 · @2.66
1.87Expected goals
0.85Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto xG
1.02San Lorenzo xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.9 – 1.0 San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo?
On our numbers Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and San Lorenzo 42%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–1 San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo?
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Antonio Candini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Tucuman0
Gimnasia L.P.2
Independ. Rivadavia0