Value bet: Atletico Tucuman to win @ 2.65 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Tucuman to win ✓43% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.47
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Tucuman travel to Antonio Candini in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday 17 August (18:45 WAT) to face Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are 30th with 14 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Atletico Tucuman sit 26th on 32 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Independ. Rivadavia 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Atletico Tucuman's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Independiente 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Tucuman arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Atletico Tucuman 4–0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and 1.1 for Atletico Tucuman. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 32%, draw 25%, Atletico Tucuman 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Atletico Tucuman to win at 2.65 – 43% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–1 Atletico Tucuman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto32%fair 3.13 · @2.94
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.84
Atletico Tucuman43%fair 2.32 · @2.65
1.94Expected goals
0.86Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto xG
1.08Atletico Tucuman xG
50%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.9 – 1.1 Atletico Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman?
On our numbers Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico Tucuman 43%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–1 Atletico Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman?
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Antonio Candini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.