Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Tigre to win @ 3.55 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRiver Plate to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.08
Tigre vs River Plate preview and prediction
The match
Tigre host River Plate in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT). Tigre are 20th with 39 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while River Plate sit 7th on 55 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tigre's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Belgrano Cordoba 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
River Plate's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Rosario Central 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Tigre arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Tigre and 1.1 for River Plate. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tigre 33%, draw 26%, River Plate 41%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Tigre to win at 3.55 – 33% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Tigre 0–1 River Plate. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigre33%fair 3.01 · @3.55
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.92
River Plate41%fair 2.45 · @2.25
2.05Expected goals
0.95Tigre xG
1.10River Plate xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Tigre 1.0 – 1.1 River Plate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
River Plate to win✗
41%
2.45
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT River Plate / FT River Plate✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.08
–
Form
Tigre – last 6
DWLLWL
6 Aug
vs Belgrano Cordoba
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Racing Club
3–1
W
28 Jul
vs Club Nacional
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ Club Nacional
3–0
W
12 Jul
@ Independ. Rivadavia
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
River Plate – last 6
LLLLDW
2 Aug
vs Rosario Central
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Gimnasia L.P.
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Barracas Central
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Aldosivi
1–3
L
3 Jul
@ Flamengo
2–2
D
28 May
vs Blooming
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigre and River Plate.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Tigre vs River Plate?
On our numbers Tigre have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and River Plate 41%.
How many goals will there be in Tigre vs River Plate?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigre vs River Plate?
Our predicted score is Tigre 0–1 River Plate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tigre vs River Plate?
Tigre vs River Plate (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportivo Riestra2
Estudiantes L.P.0
Boca Juniors1
Velez Sarsfield1