Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Atletico Tucuman or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Atletico Tucuman to win @ 1.87 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Tucuman to win ✗62% · @1.87
Double chanceAtletico Tucuman or draw ✗88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.43
Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin preview and prediction
The match
Sarmiento Junin travel to Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 8 August (18:45 WAT) to face Atletico Tucuman. Atletico Tucuman are 26th with 32 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Sarmiento Junin sit 19th on 40 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atletico Tucuman's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Huracan 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sarmiento Junin's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Independ. Rivadavia 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Atletico Tucuman arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Atletico Tucuman and 0.6 for Sarmiento Junin. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Safer route: Atletico Tucuman or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Atletico Tucuman to win at 1.87 – 62% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Tucuman or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atletico Tucuman 1–0 Sarmiento Junin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Tucuman62%fair 1.60 · @1.87
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.20
Sarmiento Junin12%fair 8.13 · @4.45
2.16Expected goals
1.60Atletico Tucuman xG
0.56Sarmiento Junin xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Atletico Tucuman 1.6 – 0.6 Sarmiento Junin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Tucuman to win✗
62%
1.60
1.87 ▲
Double chance
Atletico Tucuman or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Tucuman / FT Atletico Tucuman✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.43
–
Form
Atletico Tucuman – last 6
DWDWDL
4 Aug
@ Huracan
0–0
D
31 Jul
@ Central Cordoba de Santiago
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Independ. Rivadavia
0–0
D
20 May
@ Talleres Cordoba
3–0
W
27 Apr
vs Banfield
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Argentinos JRS
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sarmiento Junin – last 6
WLLLWL
3 Aug
vs Independ. Rivadavia
2–1
W
28 Jul
@ Banfield
2–3
L
23 Jul
vs Argentinos JRS
2–3
L
17 Jul
vs Boca Juniors
0–2
L
25 Apr
vs Tigre
1–0
W
20 Apr
@ Rosario Central
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Tucuman and Sarmiento Junin.
What is the prediction for Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our pick is Atletico Tucuman or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin?
On our numbers Atletico Tucuman have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sarmiento Junin 12%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our predicted score is Atletico Tucuman 1–0 Sarmiento Junin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin?
Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportivo Riestra2
Estudiantes L.P.0
Boca Juniors1
Velez Sarsfield1