Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Wexford to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWexford to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceWexford or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.18
Wexford vs Longford Town preview and prediction
The match
The First Division sees Wexford take on Longford Town on Friday 2 October, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Ferrycarrig Park. Wexford are 8th with 42 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Longford Town sit 5th on 52 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Wexford's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Kerry 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Longford Town's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Cork City 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Longford Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 July 2026, finished Longford Town 1–2 Wexford. Across their last 2 meetings Wexford have won 1, Longford Town 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Wexford and 0.7 for Longford Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wexford 64%, draw 22%, Longford Town 14%.
Safer route: Wexford or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Wexford to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Wexford or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Wexford 1–0 Longford Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wexford64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.60
Longford Town14%fair 7.08 · @3.70
2.59Expected goals
1.86Wexford xG
0.73Longford Town xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Wexford 1.9 – 0.7 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Wexford vs Longford Town?
Our pick is Wexford or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Wexford vs Longford Town?
On our numbers Wexford have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Longford Town 14%.
How many goals will there be in Wexford vs Longford Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wexford vs Longford Town?
Our predicted score is Wexford 1–0 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Wexford vs Longford Town?
Wexford vs Longford Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ferrycarrig Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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