Cork City host UCD in the First Division on Friday 18 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Turners Cross. Cork City are 1st with 75 points from 36 games (top of the table), while UCD sit 2nd on 56 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cork City's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Cobh Ramblers 2–3 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
UCD's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Athlone Town 2–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 July 2026, finished UCD 5–2 Cork City. Across their last 3 meetings Cork City have won 2, UCD 1, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Cork City and 0.8 for UCD. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cork City 69%, draw 21%, UCD 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cork City to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cork City 2–0 UCD. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cork City69%fair 1.45 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.80
UCD10%fair 9.57 · @5.00
3.03Expected goals
2.24Cork City xG
0.79UCD xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cork City 2.2 – 0.8 UCD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Cork City to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cork City vs UCD?
On our numbers Cork City have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UCD 10%.
How many goals will there be in Cork City vs UCD?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cork City vs UCD?
Our predicted score is Cork City 2–0 UCD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cork City vs UCD?
Cork City vs UCD (First Division) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Turners Cross.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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