UCD vs Finn Harps prediction & analysis

UCD vs Finn Harps preview and prediction

The match

The First Division sees UCD take on Finn Harps on Friday 28 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at UCD Bowl. UCD are 2nd with 56 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Finn Harps sit 10th on 28 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

UCD's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Kerry 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.

Finn Harps's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Cobh Ramblers 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.

UCD arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 12 June 2026, finished Finn Harps 0–5 UCD. Across their last 3 meetings UCD have won 2, Finn Harps 1, with 0 draws and 3.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for UCD and 0.9 for Finn Harps. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

• Win chances: UCD 68%, draw 20%, Finn Harps 12%.
• Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was UCD to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: UCD 2–0 Finn Harps. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.