Value bet: Treaty United to win @ 3.75 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKerry to win ✓47% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.81
Kerry vs Treaty United preview and prediction
The match
Treaty United travel to Mounthawk Park in the First Division on Friday 28 August (19:45 WAT) to face Kerry.
Form guide
Kerry's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with UCD 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Treaty United's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Cork City 2–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Kerry arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 July 2026, finished Treaty United 2–1 Kerry. Across their last 3 meetings Kerry have won 0, Treaty United 1, with 2 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Kerry and 1.1 for Treaty United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kerry 47%, draw 21%, Treaty United 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Treaty United to win at 3.75 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Kerry 1–1 Treaty United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kerry47%fair 2.12 · @1.96
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Treaty United32%fair 3.15 · @3.75
2.54Expected goals
1.43Kerry xG
1.10Treaty United xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Kerry 1.4 – 1.1 Treaty United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kerry vs Treaty United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Kerry vs Treaty United?
On our numbers Kerry have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Treaty United 32%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Treaty United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Treaty United?
Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 Treaty United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs Treaty United?
Kerry vs Treaty United (First Division) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
