Value bet: Wexford to win @ 3.35 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUCD to win ✓48% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.28
UCD vs Wexford preview and prediction
The match
Wexford travel to UCD Bowl in the First Division on Friday 7 August (19:45 WAT) to face UCD. UCD are 2nd with 56 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Wexford sit 8th on 42 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UCD's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Treaty United 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Wexford's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Bray Wanderers 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 May 2026, finished Wexford 2–1 UCD. Across their last 2 meetings UCD have won 0, Wexford 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for UCD and 1.2 for Wexford. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: UCD 48%, draw 20%, Wexford 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Wexford to win at 3.35 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: UCD 1–1 Wexford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UCD48%fair 2.08 · @2.02
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.65
Wexford32%fair 3.15 · @3.35
2.78Expected goals
1.57UCD xG
1.21Wexford xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: UCD 1.6 – 1.2 Wexford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win UCD vs Wexford?
On our numbers UCD have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Wexford 32%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Wexford?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Wexford?
Our predicted score is UCD 1–1 Wexford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Wexford?
UCD vs Wexford (First Division) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry1