Value bet: Longford Town to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLongford Town to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.60
Athlone Town vs Longford Town preview and prediction
The match
The First Division sees Athlone Town take on Longford Town on Friday 7 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Athlone Town Stadium. Athlone Town are 7th with 48 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Longford Town sit 5th on 52 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Athlone Town's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Cork City 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Longford Town's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Finn Harps 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Longford Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 May 2026, finished Longford Town 1–1 Athlone Town. Across their last 2 meetings Athlone Town have won 1, Longford Town 0, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Athlone Town and 1.3 for Longford Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Athlone Town 38%, draw 23%, Longford Town 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Longford Town to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Athlone Town 1–1 Longford Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Athlone Town38%fair 2.64 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.40
Longford Town39%fair 2.56 · @2.90
2.49Expected goals
1.23Athlone Town xG
1.26Longford Town xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Athlone Town 1.2 – 1.3 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Athlone Town vs Longford Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Athlone Town vs Longford Town?
On our numbers Athlone Town have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Longford Town 39%.
How many goals will there be in Athlone Town vs Longford Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athlone Town vs Longford Town?
Our predicted score is Athlone Town 1–1 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Athlone Town vs Longford Town?
Athlone Town vs Longford Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Athlone Town Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry1