Value bet: UCD to win @ 1.66 – our chance 67% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUCD to win ✗67% · @1.66
Double chanceUCD or draw ✗89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.69
UCD vs Treaty United preview and prediction
The match
Treaty United travel to UCD Bowl in the First Division on Monday 3 August (17:00 WAT) to face UCD. UCD are 2nd with 56 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Treaty United sit 9th on 42 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UCD's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Athlone Town 0–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Treaty United's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Longford Town 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 July 2026, finished Treaty United 1–2 UCD. Across their last 3 meetings UCD have won 3, Treaty United 0, with 0 draws and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for UCD and 0.7 for Treaty United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UCD 67%, draw 22%, Treaty United 11%.
Safer route: UCD or draw (89%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.62.
Value angle: UCD to win at 1.66 – 67% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: UCD 2–0 Treaty United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UCD67%fair 1.50 · @1.66
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.90
Treaty United11%fair 8.93 · @4.75
2.77Expected goals
2.04UCD xG
0.73Treaty United xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–16%
From our goals model: UCD 2.0 – 0.7 Treaty United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win UCD vs Treaty United?
On our numbers UCD have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Treaty United 11%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Treaty United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Treaty United?
Our predicted score is UCD 2–0 Treaty United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Treaty United?
UCD vs Treaty United (First Division) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry3