Value bet: Cork City to win @ 2.08 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCork City to win ✗52% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.58
UCD vs Cork City preview and prediction
The match
UCD host Cork City in the First Division on Friday 24 July, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at UCD Bowl. UCD are 2nd with 56 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Cork City sit 1st on 75 points (top of the table). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UCD's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Treaty United 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Cork City's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Shamrock Rovers 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Cork City 3–1 UCD. Across their last 2 meetings UCD have won 0, Cork City 2, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.1 for UCD and 1.7 for Cork City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UCD 27%, draw 20%, Cork City 52%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Cork City to win at 2.08 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: UCD 1–1 Cork City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UCD27%fair 3.67 · @3.20
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.65
Cork City52%fair 1.91 · @2.08
2.77Expected goals
1.10UCD xG
1.66Cork City xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: UCD 1.1 – 1.7 Cork City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win UCD vs Cork City?
On our numbers UCD have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cork City 52%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Cork City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Cork City?
Our predicted score is UCD 1–1 Cork City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Cork City?
UCD vs Cork City (First Division) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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