Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.71 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.71Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKerry to win ✓65% · @1.71
Double chanceKerry or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.06
Kerry vs Finn Harps preview and prediction
The match
Finn Harps travel to Mounthawk Park in the First Division on Friday 24 July (19:45 WAT) to face Kerry.
Form guide
Kerry's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Shelbourne 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Finn Harps's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Bray Wanderers 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Kerry arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Finn Harps 1–0 Kerry. Across their last 2 meetings Kerry have won 1, Finn Harps 1, with 0 draws and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Kerry and 0.7 for Finn Harps. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kerry 65%, draw 20%, Finn Harps 15%.
Safer route: Kerry or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kerry to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.71, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kerry 1–0 Finn Harps. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kerry65%fair 1.54 · @1.71
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.65
Finn Harps15%fair 6.67 · @4.70
2.56Expected goals
1.84Kerry xG
0.73Finn Harps xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Kerry 1.8 – 0.7 Finn Harps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Kerry to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.71.
Who will win Kerry vs Finn Harps?
On our numbers Kerry have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Finn Harps 15%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Finn Harps?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Finn Harps?
Our predicted score is Kerry 1–0 Finn Harps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs Finn Harps?
Kerry vs Finn Harps (First Division) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
