Value bet: Kerry to win @ 2.74 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKerry to win ✗39% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.97
Treaty United vs Kerry preview and prediction
The match
Treaty United host Kerry in the First Division on Friday 3 July, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Markets Field.
Form guide
Treaty United's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Wexford 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Kerry's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Longford Town 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Kerry arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Kerry 1–1 Treaty United. Across their last 2 meetings Treaty United have won 0, Kerry 0, with 2 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Treaty United and 1.2 for Kerry. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Treaty United 37%, draw 24%, Kerry 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Kerry to win at 2.74 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Treaty United 1–1 Kerry. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Treaty United37%fair 2.73 · @2.52
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Kerry39%fair 2.55 · @2.74
2.40Expected goals
1.17Treaty United xG
1.23Kerry xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Treaty United 1.2 – 1.2 Kerry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Treaty United vs Kerry?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Treaty United vs Kerry?
On our numbers Treaty United have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kerry 39%.
How many goals will there be in Treaty United vs Kerry?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Treaty United vs Kerry?
Our predicted score is Treaty United 1–1 Kerry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Treaty United vs Kerry?
Treaty United vs Kerry (First Division) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Markets Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
