Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.74 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.74Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWexford to win ✗63% · @1.74
Double chanceWexford or draw ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.41
Finn Harps vs Wexford preview and prediction
The match
The First Division sees Finn Harps take on Wexford on Friday 3 July, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Finn Park. Finn Harps are 10th with 28 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Wexford sit 8th on 42 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Finn Harps's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Athlone Town 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Wexford's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Treaty United 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Wexford 2–0 Finn Harps. Across their last 2 meetings Finn Harps have won 0, Wexford 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Finn Harps and 1.9 for Wexford. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Finn Harps 15%, draw 22%, Wexford 63%.
Safer route: Wexford or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Wexford to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.74, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Finn Harps 0–1 Wexford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Finn Harps15%fair 6.71 · @4.40
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.75
Wexford63%fair 1.58 · @1.74
2.62Expected goals
0.77Finn Harps xG
1.85Wexford xG
46%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Finn Harps 0.8 – 1.9 Wexford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Wexford to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.74.
Who will win Finn Harps vs Wexford?
On our numbers Finn Harps have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wexford 63%.
How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Wexford?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Wexford?
Our predicted score is Finn Harps 0–1 Wexford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Finn Harps vs Wexford?
Finn Harps vs Wexford (First Division) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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