Value bet: Kerry to win @ 2.22 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKerry to win ✓49% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.50
Kerry vs Athlone Town preview and prediction
The match
Athlone Town travel to Mounthawk Park in the First Division on Friday 12 June (19:45 WAT) to face Kerry.
Form guide
Kerry's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Cobh Ramblers 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Athlone Town's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to UCD 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Athlone Town 0–0 Kerry. Across their last 2 meetings Kerry have won 0, Athlone Town 1, with 1 draw and 0.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.4 for Kerry and 1.0 for Athlone Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kerry 49%, draw 22%, Athlone Town 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Kerry to win at 2.22 – 49% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kerry 1–0 Athlone Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kerry49%fair 2.05 · @2.22
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Athlone Town29%fair 3.44 · @3.20
2.33Expected goals
1.37Kerry xG
0.96Athlone Town xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Kerry 1.4 – 1.0 Athlone Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kerry vs Athlone Town?
On our numbers Kerry have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Athlone Town 29%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Athlone Town?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Athlone Town?
Our predicted score is Kerry 1–0 Athlone Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs Athlone Town?
Kerry vs Athlone Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
