Value bet: UCD to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUCD to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.85
Wexford vs UCD preview and prediction
The match
The First Division sees Wexford take on UCD on Friday 22 May, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Ferrycarrig Park. Wexford are 8th with 42 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while UCD sit 2nd on 56 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Wexford's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Longford Town 1–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
UCD's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Cork City 1–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
UCD arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished UCD 0–0 Wexford.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Wexford and 1.4 for UCD. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wexford 35%, draw 24%, UCD 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Value angle: UCD to win at 2.62 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Wexford 1–1 UCD. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wexford35%fair 2.89 · @2.56
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35
UCD42%fair 2.40 · @2.62
2.61Expected goals
1.23Wexford xG
1.38UCD xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Wexford 1.2 – 1.4 UCD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Wexford vs UCD?
On our numbers Wexford have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and UCD 42%.
How many goals will there be in Wexford vs UCD?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wexford vs UCD?
Our predicted score is Wexford 1–1 UCD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Wexford vs UCD?
Wexford vs UCD (First Division) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ferrycarrig Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry2