UCD host Finn Harps in the First Division on Friday 17 April, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at UCD Bowl. UCD are 2nd with 56 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Finn Harps sit 10th on 28 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UCD's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Kerry 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Finn Harps's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Cobh Ramblers 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
UCD arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Finn Harps 2–1 UCD.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for UCD and 1.0 for Finn Harps. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UCD 50%, draw 22%, Finn Harps 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: UCD 1–0 Finn Harps. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UCD50%fair 2.00 · @2.08
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Finn Harps28%fair 3.54 · @3.45
2.41Expected goals
1.43UCD xG
0.98Finn Harps xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
2–09%
2–19%
0–09%
0–19%
From our goals model: UCD 1.4 – 1.0 Finn Harps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win UCD vs Finn Harps?
On our numbers UCD have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Finn Harps 28%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Finn Harps?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Finn Harps?
Our predicted score is UCD 1–0 Finn Harps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Finn Harps?
UCD vs Finn Harps (First Division) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry1