Kerry host Treaty United in the First Division on Friday 17 April, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Mounthawk Park.
Form guide
Kerry's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with UCD 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Treaty United's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Cobh Ramblers 0–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Treaty United 2–2 Kerry.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Kerry and 1.2 for Treaty United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kerry 39%, draw 25%, Treaty United 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kerry 1–1 Treaty United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kerry39%fair 2.54 · @2.48
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.10
Treaty United36%fair 2.77 · @2.90
2.55Expected goals
1.31Kerry xG
1.24Treaty United xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Kerry 1.3 – 1.2 Treaty United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kerry vs Treaty United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kerry vs Treaty United?
On our numbers Kerry have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Treaty United 36%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Treaty United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Treaty United?
Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 Treaty United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs Treaty United?
Kerry vs Treaty United (First Division) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
