Value bet: UCD to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUCD to win ✗49% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
UCD vs Wexford preview and prediction
The match
UCD host Wexford in the First Division on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at UCD Bowl. UCD are 2nd with 56 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Wexford sit 8th on 42 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UCD's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Athlone Town 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Wexford's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Bray Wanderers 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.6 for UCD and 1.1 for Wexford. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UCD 49%, draw 22%, Wexford 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Value angle: UCD to win at 2.20 – 49% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: UCD 1–1 Wexford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UCD49%fair 2.04 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Wexford29%fair 3.44 · @3.20
2.73Expected goals
1.59UCD xG
1.15Wexford xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: UCD 1.6 – 1.1 Wexford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UCD to win✗
49%
2.04
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UCD / FT UCD✗
29%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Form
UCD – last 6
WWLLWL
3 Apr
@ Athlone Town
2–0
W
27 Mar
vs Cobh Ramblers
4–0
W
20 Mar
vs Cork City
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Bray Wanderers
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs Treaty United
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Finn Harps
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Wexford – last 6
WWDDDL
3 Apr
vs Bray Wanderers
2–1
W
27 Mar
vs Treaty United
3–2
W
13 Mar
vs Kerry
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Finn Harps
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Athlone Town
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Cork City
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UCD and Wexford.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win UCD vs Wexford?
On our numbers UCD have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wexford 29%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Wexford?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Wexford?
Our predicted score is UCD 1–1 Wexford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Wexford?
UCD vs Wexford (First Division) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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