Value bet: Longford Town to win @ 2.85 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLongford Town to win ✗39% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.55
Athlone Town vs Longford Town preview and prediction
The match
Longford Town travel to Athlone Town Stadium in the First Division on Monday 6 April (17:00 WAT) to face Athlone Town. Athlone Town are 7th with 48 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Longford Town sit 5th on 52 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Athlone Town's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to UCD 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Longford Town's last 4: DLDD Most recently they drew with Treaty United 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Athlone Town and 1.2 for Longford Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Athlone Town 36%, draw 24%, Longford Town 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Longford Town to win at 2.85 – 39% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Athlone Town 1–1 Longford Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Athlone Town36%fair 2.74 · @2.44
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.20
Longford Town39%fair 2.54 · @2.85
2.37Expected goals
1.16Athlone Town xG
1.21Longford Town xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Athlone Town 1.2 – 1.2 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Longford Town to win✗
39%
2.54
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Longford Town / FT Longford Town✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.55
–
Form
Athlone Town – last 6
LLLWLD
3 Apr
vs UCD
0–2
L
27 Mar
@ Cork City
1–4
L
20 Mar
@ Treaty United
0–2
L
13 Mar
vs Cobh Ramblers
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Bray Wanderers
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs Wexford
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Longford Town – last 4
DLDD
3 Apr
@ Treaty United
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Cork City
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Kerry
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Bray Wanderers
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athlone Town and Longford Town.
What is the prediction for Athlone Town vs Longford Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Athlone Town vs Longford Town?
On our numbers Athlone Town have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Longford Town 39%.
How many goals will there be in Athlone Town vs Longford Town?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athlone Town vs Longford Town?
Our predicted score is Athlone Town 1–1 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Athlone Town vs Longford Town?
Athlone Town vs Longford Town (First Division) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Athlone Town Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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