Value bet: Treaty United to win @ 3.15 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWexford to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Wexford vs Treaty United preview and prediction
The match
Wexford host Treaty United in the First Division on Friday 27 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Ferrycarrig Park. Wexford are 8th with 42 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Treaty United sit 9th on 42 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Wexford's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Kerry 1–1 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Treaty United's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Athlone Town 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Wexford and 1.2 for Treaty United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wexford 44%, draw 21%, Treaty United 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Treaty United to win at 3.15 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Wexford 1–1 Treaty United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wexford44%fair 2.25 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.45
Treaty United35%fair 2.87 · @3.15
2.69Expected goals
1.45Wexford xG
1.24Treaty United xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Wexford 1.4 – 1.2 Treaty United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wexford to win✓
44%
2.25
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wexford / FT Wexford✓
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.14
–
Form
Wexford – last 5
DDDLW
13 Mar
vs Kerry
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Finn Harps
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Athlone Town
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Cork City
1–4
L
13 Feb
@ Cobh Ramblers
3–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Treaty United – last 6
WDDLLL
20 Mar
vs Athlone Town
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Finn Harps
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Kerry
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ UCD
0–2
L
20 Feb
vs Bray Wanderers
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Cork City
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wexford and Treaty United.
What is the prediction for Wexford vs Treaty United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Wexford vs Treaty United?
On our numbers Wexford have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Treaty United 35%.
How many goals will there be in Wexford vs Treaty United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wexford vs Treaty United?
Our predicted score is Wexford 1–1 Treaty United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Wexford vs Treaty United?
Wexford vs Treaty United (First Division) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ferrycarrig Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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