Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Bray Wanderers to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBray Wanderers to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceBray Wanderers or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.32
Bray Wanderers vs Kerry preview and prediction
The match
Bray Wanderers host Kerry in the First Division on Friday 27 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Carlisle Grounds.
Form guide
Bray Wanderers's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Cobh Ramblers 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Kerry's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Finn Harps 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Bray Wanderers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Bray Wanderers and 0.7 for Kerry. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Safer route: Bray Wanderers or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Bray Wanderers to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bray Wanderers or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bray Wanderers 1–0 Kerry. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bray Wanderers59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.35
Kerry17%fair 6.00 · @3.85
2.32Expected goals
1.60Bray Wanderers xG
0.71Kerry xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Bray Wanderers 1.6 – 0.7 Kerry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bray Wanderers to win✓
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Bray Wanderers or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bray Wanderers / FT Bray Wanderers✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.32
–
Form
Bray Wanderers – last 6
DWWLWD
20 Mar
@ Cobh Ramblers
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs UCD
2–1
W
6 Mar
vs Athlone Town
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Cork City
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Treaty United
1–0
W
13 Feb
vs Longford Town
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kerry – last 6
WDDDLL
20 Mar
vs Finn Harps
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Wexford
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Treaty United
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Longford Town
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Athlone Town
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ UCD
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bray Wanderers and Kerry.
What is the prediction for Bray Wanderers vs Kerry?
Our pick is Bray Wanderers or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bray Wanderers vs Kerry?
On our numbers Bray Wanderers have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kerry 17%.
How many goals will there be in Bray Wanderers vs Kerry?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bray Wanderers vs Kerry?
Our predicted score is Bray Wanderers 1–0 Kerry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bray Wanderers vs Kerry?
Bray Wanderers vs Kerry (First Division) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Carlisle Grounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
