Cork City travel to UCD Bowl in the First Division on Friday 20 March (20:45 WAT) to face UCD. UCD are 2nd with 56 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Cork City sit 1st on 75 points (top of the table). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UCD's last 4: LWLW Most recently they lost to Bray Wanderers 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Cork City's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Longford Town 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cork City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for UCD and 1.8 for Cork City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UCD 14%, draw 22%, Cork City 64%.
Safer route: Cork City or draw (86%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: UCD 0–1 Cork City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UCD14%fair 7.30 · @5.70
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.65
Cork City64%fair 1.56 · @1.62
2.46Expected goals
0.67UCD xG
1.78Cork City xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: UCD 0.7 – 1.8 Cork City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cork City to win✓
64%
1.56
1.62
Double chance
Cork City or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Half-time result
Cork City ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cork City / FT Cork City✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.90
–
Form
UCD – last 4
LWLW
13 Mar
@ Bray Wanderers
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs Treaty United
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Finn Harps
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Kerry
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Cork City – last 5
WDWWW
13 Mar
vs Longford Town
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Cobh Ramblers
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Bray Wanderers
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Wexford
4–1
W
13 Feb
vs Treaty United
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UCD and Cork City.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win UCD vs Cork City?
On our numbers UCD have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cork City 64%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Cork City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Cork City?
Our predicted score is UCD 0–1 Cork City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Cork City?
UCD vs Cork City (First Division) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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