Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTreaty United to win ✗46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.63
Treaty United vs Kerry preview and prediction
The match
Kerry travel to Markets Field in the First Division on Friday 6 March (20:45 WAT) to face Treaty United.
Form guide
Treaty United's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to UCD 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Kerry's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Longford Town 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Treaty United and 0.9 for Kerry. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Treaty United 46%, draw 22%, Kerry 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Treaty United 1–0 Kerry. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Treaty United46%fair 2.18 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Kerry32%fair 3.12 · @3.25
2.03Expected goals
1.15Treaty United xG
0.88Kerry xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Treaty United 1.1 – 0.9 Kerry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Treaty United to win✗
46%
2.18
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Treaty United / FT Treaty United✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.63
–
Form
Treaty United – last 3
LLL
27 Feb
@ UCD
0–2
L
20 Feb
vs Bray Wanderers
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Cork City
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Kerry – last 3
DLL
27 Feb
vs Longford Town
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Athlone Town
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ UCD
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Treaty United and Kerry.
What is the prediction for Treaty United vs Kerry?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Treaty United vs Kerry?
On our numbers Treaty United have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kerry 32%.
How many goals will there be in Treaty United vs Kerry?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Treaty United vs Kerry?
Our predicted score is Treaty United 1–0 Kerry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Treaty United vs Kerry?
Treaty United vs Kerry (First Division) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Markets Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
