Value bet: Wexford to win @ 2.44 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWexford to win ✗44% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Finn Harps vs Wexford preview and prediction
The match
The First Division sees Finn Harps take on Wexford on Friday 6 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Finn Park. Finn Harps are 10th with 28 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Wexford sit 8th on 42 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Finn Harps's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Cobh Ramblers 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Wexford's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Athlone Town 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Finn Harps and 1.6 for Wexford. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Finn Harps 34%, draw 22%, Wexford 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Wexford to win at 2.44 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Finn Harps 1–1 Wexford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Finn Harps34%fair 2.94 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Wexford44%fair 2.29 · @2.44
2.99Expected goals
1.38Finn Harps xG
1.60Wexford xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Finn Harps 1.4 – 1.6 Wexford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wexford to win✗
44%
2.29
2.44 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wexford / FT Wexford✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.15
–
Form
Finn Harps – last 3
DWL
27 Feb
@ Cobh Ramblers
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs UCD
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Athlone Town
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Wexford – last 3
DLW
27 Feb
@ Athlone Town
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Cork City
1–4
L
13 Feb
@ Cobh Ramblers
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Finn Harps and Wexford.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Finn Harps vs Wexford?
On our numbers Finn Harps have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wexford 44%.
How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Wexford?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Wexford?
Our predicted score is Finn Harps 1–1 Wexford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Finn Harps vs Wexford?
Finn Harps vs Wexford (First Division) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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