Value bet: Treaty United to win @ 3.05 – our chance 41% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTreaty United to win ✗41% · @3.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.16
UCD vs Treaty United preview and prediction
The match
UCD host Treaty United in the First Division on Friday 27 February, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at UCD Bowl. UCD are 2nd with 56 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Treaty United sit 9th on 42 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for UCD and 1.2 for Treaty United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UCD 35%, draw 24%, Treaty United 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Treaty United to win at 3.05 – 41% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: UCD 1–1 Treaty United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UCD35%fair 2.85 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Treaty United41%fair 2.44 · @3.05
2.28Expected goals
1.08UCD xG
1.20Treaty United xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: UCD 1.1 – 1.2 Treaty United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Treaty United to win✗
41%
2.44
3.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Treaty United / FT Treaty United✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.16
–
Form
UCD – last 2
LW
20 Feb
@ Finn Harps
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Kerry
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Treaty United – last 2
LL
20 Feb
vs Bray Wanderers
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Cork City
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UCD and Treaty United.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win UCD vs Treaty United?
On our numbers UCD have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Treaty United 41%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Treaty United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Treaty United?
Our predicted score is UCD 1–1 Treaty United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Treaty United?
UCD vs Treaty United (First Division) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry1