Kerry host Athlone Town in the First Division on Friday 20 February, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Mounthawk Park.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Kerry and 1.2 for Athlone Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kerry 47%, draw 21%, Athlone Town 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.72.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Kerry 1–1 Athlone Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kerry47%fair 2.11 · @1.98
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.25
Athlone Town32%fair 3.16 · @3.20
2.85Expected goals
1.60Kerry xG
1.25Athlone Town xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
2–07%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Kerry 1.6 – 1.2 Athlone Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kerry to win✗
47%
2.11
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.72
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.82
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kerry / FT Kerry✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.76
–
Form
Kerry – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ UCD
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Athlone Town – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Finn Harps
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kerry and Athlone Town.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Kerry vs Athlone Town?
On our numbers Kerry have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Athlone Town 32%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Athlone Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Athlone Town?
Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 Athlone Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs Athlone Town?
Kerry vs Athlone Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
