The First Division sees Finn Harps take on UCD on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Finn Park. Finn Harps are 10th with 28 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while UCD sit 2nd on 56 points (in the top four). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Finn Harps and 1.6 for UCD. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Finn Harps 32%, draw 22%, UCD 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.72.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Finn Harps 1–1 UCD. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Finn Harps32%fair 3.13 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.20
UCD46%fair 2.16 · @2.20
2.82Expected goals
1.25Finn Harps xG
1.57UCD xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–07%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Finn Harps 1.2 – 1.6 UCD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UCD to win✗
46%
2.16
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.72
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UCD / FT UCD✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.65
–
Form
Finn Harps – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Athlone Town
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
UCD – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Kerry
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Finn Harps and UCD.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Finn Harps vs UCD?
On our numbers Finn Harps have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UCD 46%.
How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs UCD?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs UCD?
Our predicted score is Finn Harps 1–1 UCD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Finn Harps vs UCD?
Finn Harps vs UCD (First Division) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry0