Value bet: UCD to win @ 2.08 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUCD to win ✓54% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.08
UCD vs Kerry preview and prediction
The match
The First Division sees UCD take on Kerry on Friday 13 February, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at UCD Bowl.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for UCD and 1.0 for Kerry. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UCD 54%, draw 22%, Kerry 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: UCD to win at 2.08 – 54% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: UCD 1–0 Kerry. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UCD54%fair 1.84 · @2.08
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Kerry24%fair 4.20 · @3.50
2.57Expected goals
1.61UCD xG
0.95Kerry xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: UCD 1.6 – 1.0 Kerry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UCD to win✓
54%
1.84
2.08 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UCD / FT UCD✗
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.08
–
Form
UCD
No recent results on record.
Kerry
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UCD and Kerry.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win UCD vs Kerry?
On our numbers UCD have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kerry 24%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Kerry?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Kerry?
Our predicted score is UCD 1–0 Kerry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Kerry?
UCD vs Kerry (First Division) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
